SIRIUS believes that the satellite radio industry will continue to experience strong growth in 2006, and the company expects to have over 6 million subscribers by the end of this year.
Average monthly churn is expected to be approximately 1.8% for 2006. The company expects SAC per gross subscriber addition to approach $110 for the full-year 2006 and to decline further in 2007.
SIRIUS expects to generate approximately $600 million of total revenue in 2006, and approximately $1 billion in 2007. SIRIUS expects an adjusted loss from operations of approximately $540 million in 2006.
SIRIUS ended the fourth quarter of 2005 with approximately $879 million in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities. SIRIUS' first quarter of positive free cash flow, after capital expenditures, could be reached as early as the fourth quarter of 2006, and the company continues to expect to generate positive free cash flow for the full-year 2007.
The company expects capital expenditures to be approximately $110 million in 2006, which includes investments for new revenue generating opportunities such as telematics, video and other data services, as well as network infrastructure expansion, including payments related to the previously disclosed contract to secure a slot for a possible satellite launch prior to year-end 2010.
SIRIUS also believes that in 2010 the company will generate approximately $3 billion in revenue and approximately $1 billion in free cash flow, after capital expenditures.